A very mild, but windy start to the weekend is ahead, A frontal system with tight strengthening low pressure will cause windy, to very windy conditions for parts of the Upper Midwest, winds could gust as high as 50+ MPH in South Dakota and North Dakota as well as Northwest Minnesota, Further east 40MPH winds are possible for the rest of Minnesota and Western Wisconsin. The same frontal system may spark a few showers or thunderstorms over the weekend.
Local view
Note The forecast for Saturday and Sunday has been changed, rain chances have been lowered or taken out completely for Saturday and Sunday, and highs have been raised becuase cloud cover will not be as full.
Locally we can also expect the windy conditions as mentioned above, to make for a windy but dry Friday, Winds could gust as high as 40MPH here in the local area, this will likely blow around a lot of the leaves clinging to the trees. Highs will be very mild for Early October and will reach the lower 80s to middle 80s in the Metro with partly cloudy skies. Lows Friday night will be in the low to mid 60s, which is closer to where daytime highs should be! Saturday and Sundays forecast is now looking brighter and warmer as well. Skies will be partly cloudy both days, there is still a small chance at a shower or storms, but it is likely now that it will stay dry. Highs Saturday and Sunday becuase it is now expected to be sunnier will be in the low 80s to mid 80s for Rochester, which is extremely mild. Monday will remain warm, there could still be a light shower, if there isn't showers it will instead be mostly cloudy with highs in the low 80s and lows in the upper 50s.
Metro View
Friday, Partly Cloudy and Windy, winds gusting to 40MPH from the southwest at times. Very mild! with highs in the low to mid 80s. Friday Night, Mild! Partly cloudy with lows in the low to mid 60s.
Saturday, Partly cloudy, Very Mild! with highs in the low to mid 80s. Saturday Night, A chance of showers, otherwise mostly cloudy with lows in the upper 50s.
Sunday, Partly cloudy and very mild, with highs in the low 80s. Sunday Night, mostly cloudy, lows in the low 50s
Monday, Partly Cloudy with a chance of a light morning shower, otherwise mild with highs in the upper 70s. Monday Night, partly cloudy, lows in the mid 50s.
Looking Ahead
Tuesday looks to be more cloudy then sunny with a slight chance of sprinkles. Then Wednesday a system and cold front that will move into Iowa will bring a much better chance of much needed rain to southeastern Minnesota, This will be our next chance at any significant rain. Behind the cold front it is much colder for Thursday the 13th, and the much cooler airmass stays in place through much of that weekend. Then the models get very interesting towards the 17th of October, It shows a clashing of airmasses come together right were a very strong storm system moves over the Upper Midwest which puts most of Minnesota on it's northern edge, with the cool air already in place, This system the models are showing right now has the potential to bring Snow as far south as central Minnesota, with rain for the local area, Lots of wind looks likely as well. It dries out and becomes warmer for the 18th and 19th, before more rain moves in by the 20th of October. The models continue to keep it very active around here through the 23rd, which would bring a system of rain over us every other day it seems. More on this later.
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