The Upper Midwest is still very active as we are preparing for yet another Winter Storm Monday which could produce heavy snowfall and significant accumulations in Northeast South Dakota, North Dakota, Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin. a temporary quiet period follows Wednesday, before more active weather moves in possibly Thursday
Local View
Note: The models have been quite choppy on weather systems so far this winter, because of this the map above is subject to significant change if a this storm shifts track.
Locally, We have another winter storm that looks to be targeting our area which looks to being significant accumulations, though it will not be as heavy as the Dec 11th storm. Timing on this shows Cloudy skies Monday afternoon then this gives way to light snow by the afternoon. With moderate snow likely for Monday evening and overnight, and it could be heavy at times. This moderate to heavy snow could last into Tuesday Morning before tapering to light flurries for the afternoon Tuesday. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 20s during the entire event so we can expect fluffy snow. The good news is wind will not be an issue with this storm, so blowing and drifting will likely be minimal.
Mondays Accumulations
I went with the low end guess on snow accumulations with this storm, some models put as much as 10 inches accumulation for our area, I may have to update my map with higher totals if this trend counties. The highest accumulations right now look to fall in the southern two thirds of the local area this could include all communities in Polk, Barron, St Croix and Dunn counties, as well as southern Burnett and Washburn counties, I went with 6-9" for this area with a bit less 4-7" in Northern and central Burnett & Washburn counties.
Monday, Cloudy with light snow developing in the afternoon. highs in the low 20s Monday Night Snow, moderate to heavy at times. lows in the mid 10s
Tuesday, Snow in the morning, moderate to heavy at times before tapering to flurries by late morning. Flurries lasting much of the afternoon, otherwise Cloudy with highs in the mid 20s Tuesday Night, Cloudy, lows in the mid to upper 10s
Wednesday, Partly Sunny, to mostly cloudy highs in the mid to upper 20s. Wednesday Night Cloudy lows in the upper 10s
Looking Ahead
Thursdays storm potential
I am closely watching a storm system right behind the upcoming one which looks to hit the local area on Thursday, Because this is one of the large big travel days due to Christmas, it's good to have an early word out. Right now it's trending mostly Minnesota has having the most. but the edge of the storm shows to hit the local area, which could produce low end of significant accumulation standards which is at least 6" This is still early in the forecasting process for this storm. Models will be updating so there will be updates on this in later forecasts.
Beyond Thursday for Christmas eve, It appears to cloudy and dry and colder. This will last into Christmas day, and into the rest of weekend afterwards. by Tuesday the 28th the model shows warmer and with more snow chances which last through Wednesday the 29th, behind it colder air moves in. Then it becomes warmer by New Years with another chance at light snow. At the end of the model run the models are picking on a potentially heavier snow event by January 3rd. More on this later
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