Regional ViewThe big weather story is on a storm system taking shape for this weekend. It is expected to bring everything from rain and sleet to heavy snow. Significant snowfall accumulations are possible in parts of Western Wisconsin, Eastern and Northeastern Minnesota, and a part of Northern Iowa. Rain and sleet is more likely east of this area.
Local View.
Note: I've updated the forecast, but it is subject to significant change due to the uncertainly of what the models are reading. Updates may be needed before Saturday. Also this forecast replaces my previous forecast for Friday.
The forecast models have shifted the weekend system which now calls for all Attention to be focused on Saturday, which looks likely to bring the first significant snowfall accumulations of the season. Friday night this system will start off with Rain showers slowly changing to snow late Friday. Highs Friday will be steady in the lower to middle 40s early before slowing falling to 30s through the day. Saturday temperatures will have cooled enough for preip to remain all snow, with the best chance for all snow Northwest of a line from Baldwin to Prairie Farm to Rice Lake. It could mix with rain especially in Dunn County. Some snow will be heavy at times. Saturday afternoon, Highs will by Very chilly in the mid 30s, This with a cool ground will allow for accumulation. Saturday Night, light snow will continue and lows will fall into the low 30s. Sunday light snow will come to an end late, highs will be in the mid upper 30s, but with a thick snowpack on the ground highs may only manage low to mid 30s. The models have shifted this system more easterly, I am now more confidant that system total accumulation at this point will be in the 3-6" range. Breezy conditions both Saturday and Sunday may also allow for some drifting. Monday looks quieter with mostly cloudy skies and highs in the mid 30s to upper 30s.
Winter Storm looking more likely
This system is continuing to be watch very closely and now with a trend more the the east, it has a better chance of producing winter storm value snowfall accumulations. Right now it appears warm air will stick around in the southeast areas long enough to Friday to keep it mostly rain early. But Northwesterly locations should be cool enough for a mostly snow event. This is where will the highest accumulations will be, 3-6 inches are likely and it is certainly not out of the question that 8 inches could be a possibility.
Note: I've updated the forecast, but it is subject to significant change due to the uncertainly of what the models are reading. Updates may be needed before Saturday. Also this forecast replaces my previous forecast for Friday.
The forecast models have shifted the weekend system which now calls for all Attention to be focused on Saturday, which looks likely to bring the first significant snowfall accumulations of the season. Friday night this system will start off with Rain showers slowly changing to snow late Friday. Highs Friday will be steady in the lower to middle 40s early before slowing falling to 30s through the day. Saturday temperatures will have cooled enough for preip to remain all snow, with the best chance for all snow Northwest of a line from Baldwin to Prairie Farm to Rice Lake. It could mix with rain especially in Dunn County. Some snow will be heavy at times. Saturday afternoon, Highs will by Very chilly in the mid 30s, This with a cool ground will allow for accumulation. Saturday Night, light snow will continue and lows will fall into the low 30s. Sunday light snow will come to an end late, highs will be in the mid upper 30s, but with a thick snowpack on the ground highs may only manage low to mid 30s. The models have shifted this system more easterly, I am now more confidant that system total accumulation at this point will be in the 3-6" range. Breezy conditions both Saturday and Sunday may also allow for some drifting. Monday looks quieter with mostly cloudy skies and highs in the mid 30s to upper 30s.
Winter Storm looking more likely
This system is continuing to be watch very closely and now with a trend more the the east, it has a better chance of producing winter storm value snowfall accumulations. Right now it appears warm air will stick around in the southeast areas long enough to Friday to keep it mostly rain early. But Northwesterly locations should be cool enough for a mostly snow event. This is where will the highest accumulations will be, 3-6 inches are likely and it is certainly not out of the question that 8 inches could be a possibility.
People in the area should prepare for our first significant snowfall accumulations of the season It is looking a bit more likely we will have our first Winter Storm of the season.
Friday, Cloudy early then Rain mixing with then changing to snow late in the day. High temps in the mid 40s then falling. Friday Night, light Rain/mix changing to all snow late. lows in the low 30s. Light accumulations possible.
Saturday, Very Chilly, A good chance of snow. Heavy snow is possible, Rain could mix in at times. Breezy, with highs in the mid 30s, Saturday Night, A good chance of light snow. breezy with lows in the low 30s.
Sunday, Chilly. Light Snow early then Mostly Cloudy. Storm total accumulation ranging from 3-6" with snowfall amounts as high as 8" possible. Highs in the middle 30s. Sunday Night, Clearing slightly, lows in the upper 20s.
Monday, Mostly Cloudy, Highs in the upper 30s. Monday Night, Partly Cloudy lows in the lower to mid 20s.
Looking Ahead.
This system appears to by the start of a pretty major shift to a more winter-like weather pattern. Tuesday on the leading edge of some Much colder air, light snow showers could form. Behind it highs will struggle to reach the upper 20s for highs. the chance of light snow will linger through Wednesday the 17th as a clipper-like system pulls through. Minor snow accumulations are possible. Thursday the 18th looks to clear out but remain cold. Highs in the 20s look to remain. Highs could be approaching the lower 10s. Friday the 19th a short warm up pulls in, while a snow storm-like system pulls north and brings possibly significant snows to Northern MN. then behind it by the 21st much colder air pulls in. By the end of the model run towards Thanksgiving a warmer weather pattern looks to shift in with rain/snow chances.
Friday, Cloudy early then Rain mixing with then changing to snow late in the day. High temps in the mid 40s then falling. Friday Night, light Rain/mix changing to all snow late. lows in the low 30s. Light accumulations possible.
Saturday, Very Chilly, A good chance of snow. Heavy snow is possible, Rain could mix in at times. Breezy, with highs in the mid 30s, Saturday Night, A good chance of light snow. breezy with lows in the low 30s.
Sunday, Chilly. Light Snow early then Mostly Cloudy. Storm total accumulation ranging from 3-6" with snowfall amounts as high as 8" possible. Highs in the middle 30s. Sunday Night, Clearing slightly, lows in the upper 20s.
Monday, Mostly Cloudy, Highs in the upper 30s. Monday Night, Partly Cloudy lows in the lower to mid 20s.
Looking Ahead.
This system appears to by the start of a pretty major shift to a more winter-like weather pattern. Tuesday on the leading edge of some Much colder air, light snow showers could form. Behind it highs will struggle to reach the upper 20s for highs. the chance of light snow will linger through Wednesday the 17th as a clipper-like system pulls through. Minor snow accumulations are possible. Thursday the 18th looks to clear out but remain cold. Highs in the 20s look to remain. Highs could be approaching the lower 10s. Friday the 19th a short warm up pulls in, while a snow storm-like system pulls north and brings possibly significant snows to Northern MN. then behind it by the 21st much colder air pulls in. By the end of the model run towards Thanksgiving a warmer weather pattern looks to shift in with rain/snow chances.
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