Slight Risk Tuesday

Image from SPC

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms for the Upper Midwest, including all of the local 6 county area. Thunderstorms will develop in 2 waves Tuesday, one moving through in the early morning hours Tuesday, the other moving through Tuesday Afternoon after 1PM both waves will have the chance to bring severe weather, but the best chance of severe storms will come in the afternoon. The main threats will be large hail, and damaging winds, a tornado threat is also there. People in the area should be aware there is a risk of Severe Weather Tuesday.

Rain/Severe Weather Chances increasing Tuesday, then Sun, then more rain chances and cooler Thursday.

Regional View





It is starting to get more active across the Upper Midwest this week, with a sharp cold front separating a hot and humid air mass with a cooler air mass to the west. Storms that form along this front may become severe in Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa. Wednesday things dry out and become cooler, then a cool and cloudy weather system appears to move in for Thursday being clouds and much cooler conditions.

Local View

Locally, we can expect a warm and humid day Tuesday, it will be partly cloudy at first with shower and thunderstorm chances to increasing for Tuesday afternoon, which is actually welcomed now after a very dry week. At this time it looks like some storms may become severe in the afternoon, high winds and hail appear to be the main threats at this time, heavy rain may also be a potential problem as a cold front moves slowly east.

Wednesday things clear out behind the front, it will be much less humid and not nearly as warm, we will also have breeze west winds, with mid 70s for highs, upper 50s for highs.

Thursday, a the northern edge of a fairly small system looks to bring a chance of showers with some thunderstorms, it appears like it will be quite cloudy with highs on the cool side in the lower 70s and lows in the upper 50s

Tuesday, Warm & Humid, Partly Cloudy, then Thunderstorms developing. Some could be severe, and have heavy rainfall. Highs in the mid 80s, Tuesday Night, A chance of thunderstorms early, then turning partly cloudy, lows in the low 60s

Wednesday, Cooler, sunny, less humid, highs in the mid 70s. Wednesday Night, clear, lows in the upper 50s

Thursday, Cool, a chance of showers and thunderstorms, otherwise mostly cloudy with highs in the low 70s. Thursday Night, A chance of showers, lows in the mid 50s.

Looking Ahead

Friday it appears like the start of another dry streak as things clear out with a high pressure system moving in, the dry streak looks to last into Monday, temperatures during this time look fair in the 70s. Monday the 6th the models show a warmer air mass moving in, with rain chances by Wednesday, and again on Thursday, heavy rain appears possible especially on Thurs the 9th, afterwards the models show a short dry streak before another system brings a 3rd chance at heavy rains Sept the 12th temperatures during this time look warm t fair. After this system the models are hinting at quite a cool air mass around the 14th, although things will change before this date, Frost and Freeze conditions appear possible at this time. More on this later.

Bayfield Peninsula Pictures, Awesome Sunset!

Little Sand Bay shoreline.

The Drive There, It was very pretty and neat to watch the contrast, We took 63 to Highway 2, it went from the broad leafed Forests where I live, to jack pine as we reached Hayward, and they it went to lowland swamps near Mason,WI before changing to uplands SW of Ashland,WI we then too Highway 13, The landscape on the peninsula was highland prairies and thick forest in the middle of the peninsula, then ranging from cliffs and outcroppings to sandy beaches on the shorelines, There were thick forests just beyond the sand of the shore. There was a lot of Spruce and Cedars and Balsam Firs, Red Maple was also common, I even got the chance to see Hemlock Trees, Which I never seen before! on Sunday we got a chance to go from one side of the peninsula to the other when we took County Road C from Cornucopia to Washburn.


Soft Maple

While I was up there, I seen some of the Red Maples are already beginning to turn along parts of the Shore with shades of Reds this one above had some bright red!


Shoreline Trees with lake

The weather was perfect sky wise! There was not a cloud to be seen, and waves were perfect sized and not too big. It did end out being Hotter then I expected. With a very gusty offshore breeze, it was quite hot, even right along the shore. There wasn't much of a temperature contrast between the shore and inland on Saturday, but on Sunday afternoon when my family and I were walking along Myers Beach on the West side of the peninsula, there was a gust of wind that blew right off the lake, and the temperature really dropped fast if felt great, and It was really interesting! I measured a 86.F Temperature at our campsite which is just inland, and 78.F in the shade right next to the shoreline, But the cool breeze didn't last long before the winds blew off shore again. The water was extremely cold when first got in, but once you warmed up it felt great with the hot temps. The lowest temperature I measured at our campsite was 66.F
Me sitting on a sand dune


There were some really interesting sand dunes along the shore, they looked like hard rocks, but really it was just soft sand that was drawn form waves when the water was higher!

Washburn,WI

The Communities there were quite nice, ever town had a Marina one of the largest communities we passed though was Washburn.

Ashland,WI


This is a picture of Ashland from a distance. We stopped at the Northern Great Lakes Visiting Center on Highway 2, and they had very good information about old former forests types, animals in the area, and local history. They also had an obviation tower where you can see Lake Superior, and just over the treeline Ashland can be seen, as in the picture above. I end my post with a beautiful photo of the sunset in Little Sand Bay, It was an awesome sunset, The island in the picture is Sand Island!

Continued nice weather but Turning Warm & Camping on the Bayfield Peninsula this weekend!

Regional Weather view. With location I'm camping at circled in Pink.

Camping up North:

I will be heading up North to the Bayfield Peninsula this for a camping trip. ( location in pink above) My family and I were lucky enough to get a campground that is right next to Lake Superior near the very northerly tip of the peninsula! This will be an exciting trip for me because I've never seen the Southern shore of Lake Superior. We will drive north on Highway 63, We will pass through Cumberland, Spooner, in the local area, then Hayward, Ashland, Washburn and Bayfield, Which is supposed to be a very beautiful drive! The weather forecast looks great for our trip, with Sunshine and low 80s for highs with mid 60s for lows. while my house will be Warm and Sticky in the mid 80s! I will post lots of pictures and info about my trip when I get home on Sunday but I will also be posting live from Twitter! ( right side pannel )

Weather:

The Upper Midwest will be experience a very quiet weather pattern for the rest of the week. A strong and large area of high pressure will ensure plenty of Sunshine everyday, and warming high temperatures each day.

Local Weather

Note: because of my camping trip I've included a forecast for Sunday.

Locally we will enjoy Sunshine for the next 4 days, each day will become slowly warmer with more humidity adding each day. It will start off cool Thursday, but slowly but surely it will become Warm by Saturday. Humidity will not be oppressive, but there will be some in the air. Mid to Upper 70s for highs Thursday. then Mid 80s for highs Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Lows will be in the mid 50s Thurs, then to mid to upper 60s. Fri, Sat/Sun.

Thursday, Sunny, Mild with highs in the mid 70s. Thursday Night, Clear Skies lows in the low 50s

Friday, Sunny, Mild, Highs in the low to mid 80s. Friday Night, Clear Skies, lows in the low 60s

Saturday/Sunday, Sunny Skies, turning Warm with increasing humidity. Highs in the mid 80s, Lows in the mid to upper 60s

Looking Ahead

Our dry streak will actually continue into Monday of next week, but by then it will be warm with humid conditions. Tuesday also looks Warm and humid with a chance of rain but much better chance for storms will come on Wednesday Sept 1st with a sharp cold front. Friday and Saturday Sept 3/4th is looking Much cooler to even quite chilly, There is a chance that that air mass may bring chances at frost in the northerly locations, but things could change. Then the models show a warmer air mass moving in by the 6th with on and off chances of rain from the 6th through the 9th. Temperatures look to hold steady in the mild range. more on this later.

One more Hot Day ahead, then Much Cooler and Windy condtions Tuesday and Wednesday.

Regional Weather View.

The Weather Pattern is beginning to settle down some as we head into the end of August, One more hot day for the Upper Midwest, before a strong cold front sweeps through and brings a chance at storms. behind this front, cooler, much drier conditions.

Local View

Locally, We will have one more Hot day with a shot at low 90s for highs, Possibly the last of the season? Dew points will be near 70.F making heat index's in the middle 90s. Late Monday into the early morning hours Tuesday, a strong sharp cold front will sweep through bringing a chance at a few storms, At this time severe weather is not expected, it appears a quick moving band of storms will move through. Behind this front much cooler and windy conditions Tuesday and Wednesday, Highs both days will be in the 70s, with lows in the 50s!

Monday, Hot, Humid Sunny with highs near 90.F Monday Night, A chance at showers or thunderstorms, then Turing windy, lows in the low 60s.

Tuesday, Much Cooler and Windy. Sunny with highs in the mid 70s, some wind gusts could be as high as 30MPH Tuesday Night, Breezy, Clear Skies, lows in the low 50s.

Wednesday, Breezy, Sunny with highs in the mid 70s Wednesday Night, Cool, Clear Skies with lows in the low 50s. Upper 40s possible north.

Looking Ahead.

A much needed quiet weather pattern is settling in for the week. including Tues and Wednes. We will have a 5 day dry steak with sunshine and pleasant temperatures in the 70s, lows in the 50s. By the time we approach Friday of next weekend. we will be warming things back up. Then it appears as we head into September the 2nd thing will become more active again, we well as remaining mild. I see 2 shots at heavy rain one Sept 2nd and the other Sept 6th. more on this later.

Heavy Rain possible tonight into Friday, followed by a dry, but Hot weekend.

Fridays Regional Weather view.





Yet another system will bring heavy rain and severe weather potential to the Upper Midwest this week. Stationary front will slowly lift north over the next day, this will bring severe weather chances to Iowa, Minnesota and Western Wisconsin early Friday. Heavy rain is possible in Minnesota and Wisconsin as well. Behind this system, a small piece of hot air mass makes it way in and brings Hot, dry weather for the weekend.

Local Weather View.

Locally we got some severe weather potential along with heavy rainfall chances for Friday. A stationary front will life north tonight, and eventually be placed right overhead. Thunderstorms will develop along this front, and because of the humid air mass in place. Heavy rain will be possible. There will also be a risk that some storms could be severe. Right now it appears that Friday Morning, then again Friday Evening has the best potential for this.

Saturday and Sunday, the front will lift north, and will become sunny and Dry for the main part of the weekend, but it will be Hot and Humid, with highs in the mid 80s Saturday, and highs approaching 90 on Sunday. Heat Index's both days could approach the upper 90s.

Friday, A chance of Thunderstorms, in the morning, then again in the afternoon. Otherwise Mostly Cloudy. Some storms could be severe, and bring heavy rainfall. Highs in the Upper 70s. Friday Night, A chance of Showers and Thunderstorms, then clearing Lows in the mid 60s

Saturday, Partly Cloudy, Warm with Humid conditions. Highs in the Mid 80s. Heat Index's in the middle to upper 90s Saturday Night, Partly Cloudy, lows in the mid 60s

Sunday, Partly Cloudy and Hot, Highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s, Heat Index's in the Middle to Upper 90s

Looking Ahead

Monday of next week will continue to a Hot one. Highs could again hit 90.F, with Dry conditions. Tuesday a Cold Front looks to bring cooler conditions, but along with this front, Thunderstorms look like a good possibility. with potentially heavy rain. Severe Weather may also be a possibility. Following this front, Things looks cooler and dry for Wednesday and Thursday, before warm air beings to surge north once again by Saturday. Sunday the 28th- through Wednesday Sept 1 the the models are picking up on what could be a pretty active week, showing on and off rain and storm potential. Then as we head more into Sept, they show Warm, Mild conditions at then end of the run.

SPC

The SPC has issued a Slight Risk for Most of the Upper Midwest including South Dakota, North Dakota, Minnesota and a part of Western Wisconsin, including the 6 county area. Storms are expected to develop in Southern Minnesota today, but as a stationary front turns into a Warm Front and moves North, Thunderstorms could develop and become Severe, the best times for this will be tonight after 7PM The main threats are strong winds and very heavy rainfall. Tornado's also poses a risk with this front.