Sunny and hot for midweek! Dry heat with highs in the 90s. Tstorms chances with a cold front Saturday night.

Regional weather view.

A summer like pattern is developing across the Upper Midwest. A hot but dry airmass has made its way in. Tempetures will be in the 80s to 90 region wide for the rest of the work week. Then as a cold front moves through Thunderstorms could develop long this front which will bring a quick chance at rain before it becomes cooler and dry for the start of next week.

Local and Metro views.

For the end of the workweek we can expect sunny hot and dry conditions! This will not be the humid, sticky type of airmass though, it will be sunny, windy hot and dry. Temperatures will be hot with this airmass. Upper 80s are more likely but the 1st low 90s of this season appear very possible across the area, especially in warm spots and inner city areas. This hot airmass will not cause many problems but drink plenty of water if out in the sun, as this is the 1st real warm day of the season so far. A cold front will move through late Saturday night and showers plus thunderstorms will form along this front and move through. This system is lacking moisture so there will not be an abundance of rain but some areas will a quarter to a half inch. Severe weather will not be an issue. Things cool off Sunday but remain cloudy with highs more seasonable in the 70s. Monday looks pleasant and sunny with highs in the 70s lows in the 50s.






Friday, Sunny hot with Low humidity. Gusty south winds to 35MPH Highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s Friday Night, Warm, Clear skies with lows in the mid 60s.

Saturday, Sunny and hot with low humidity. Gusty south winds to 30MPH Highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. Saturday Night, A chance of showers and thunderstorms late.

Sunday, Cooler, a chance of showers and thunderstorms early then ending. Highs in the low 70s. Sunday Night, Cloudy Skies lows in the low 50s.

Monday, Sunny pleasant with light winds. Highs in the mid 70s Monday night. Clear skies lows in the low 50s.

Looking Ahead

It appears to stay dry and sunny with fair temperatures all the way through most of next week. Heat and moisture will slowly build up towards the end of next week, which leads to thunderstorms chances starting Friday the 25th. Saturday looks clear with fair temps then Sunday the 17th a weather system spreads thunderstorms across much of the Midwest. Heavy rains look possible into Monday as well. It clears up with fair temps out by Wednesday the 30th and stays that way until heat and humidly build in by the 1st of June. It looks like we may have a very hot start to June. More on this later.

Pleasent week ahead. Sunny and dry everyday with warm highs in the 70s and 80s into Midweek next week!

Regional weather view.

A strong high pressure system situated across the Upper Midwest will keep a nice stretch of weather around. It will be very uniform and dry across the entire region with warm sunny days and clear cool nights. There are no storms systems expected to impact the region this week.

Local and Metro views.

As stated above we can expect a very uniform week for weather for the rest of this weekend, and even well into next week! Everyday will feature sunshine and warm temperatures with light winds. Temperatures will moderate each day and become warmer and warmer as each day progresses. Sunday will have highs in the mid 70s with lows in the mid 50s. Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday will all have sunshine and light winds. Highs will be near if not in the 80s with lows in the low to mid 50s. There is a slight chance of some light rain late Thursday after day. But the chance is slim at this time.





Sunday, Sunny, light winds. Highs in the mid 70s. Sunday Night, Clear and cool. lows in the mid 40s.

Monday, Sunny, warm. Highs in the upper 70s to 80.F with light winds. Monday Night. Clear and cool, lows in the upper 40s.

Tuesday, Sunny and warm. Highs in the low 80s with light winds. Tuesday Night, clear skies, lows in the mid 50s.

Wednesday, Sunny and warm, highs in the lower 80s with light winds. Wednesday Night clear skies, lows in the upper 50s.

Thursday, Sunny and warm, highs in the low to mid 80s. Thursday Night, A small chance of light rain after day. Lows in the low 60s.

Looking Ahead

Friday is our next real chance of seeing rain. A cool front will produce a few shows or thunderstorms. None of this looks heavy. Then as we move into next weekend in looks increasing humid with developing storms and rain, especially towards Sunday the 20th with a passing sharp cold front. Monday and Tuesday it really cools off behind the front then turns drier with fair temps for the midweek of that week. Towards Thursday and Friday the 24th and 25th developing showers and thunderstorms move across the midwest along a warm front then it turns drier with fair temps by the 27th. The models show increasing heat towards the end of May. 90s could be a possibility.

Drying out for tomarrow, with plenty of sun and seasonible warmer. Tuesday only chance and rain, then back to Sunshine Wedesday and Thursday!

Regional Weather View.

A high pressure will move in after a stormy end to last week which will bring in a seasonably warm drier pattern for Monday. Tuesday will be the only chance of rain and it will be light as a systems moves across Northern Minnesota, the threat for rain will remain mainly in Minnesota and Wisconsin. Wednesday and Thursday sunshine and seasonable warmth will move back into the picture for all areas.

Local weather view.

Local and metro views.

Locally a high pressure system will bring us pleasant weather and we can expect a much more quiet start to the week in weather. Monday will feature plentiful sunshine with seasonable temperatures near 70 with lows in the mid 40s. Tuesday will be our only chance at rain and it will be light in nature and there will not be severe weather threats with it. Rainfall amounts should be under 0.25". Besides the threat of rainshowers skies will be partly sunny with highs in the low 60s and lows in the mid 40s. Wednesday and Thursday will be much like Monday, they will both have lots on sunshine with highs nearing 70 and lows nearing 45 to 50.F It will generally be a great week to get outdoors!






Monday, Sunny and pleasant. Light winds.  Highs in the upper 60s. Monday Night, Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 40s.

Tuesday, Partly Sunny with a chance of light rain. Highs in the mid 60s. Tuesday Night, A chance of showers, lows in the mid 40s.

Wednesday, Sunny skies, pleasant and nice with highs in the upper 60s. Wednesday Night, partly cloudy with lows in the mid 40s.

Thursday, Sunny skies pleasant and nice with highs in the low 70s. Thursday Night, Clear skies with lows in the low 50s.

Looking Ahead

Friday a cold front will push through which could bring a quick shot of thunderstorms before it dries out and turns sunny and seasonable just in time for the weekend, it looks dry and sunny with highs in the 70s for the weekend, this weather lasts into early the week of the 14th until about Tuesday the 15th when a warm front moves towards the region and starts bring the threat for thunderstorms. Thunderstorm chances, warmth and humidity increase for the rest of that week in to the weekend of the 19th. There is a threat for thunderstorms almost every day, Saturday the 19th could bring heavy rain and severe weather. Then to start the week of the 22nd it becomes very warm even hot and stormy. There could be several threats of severe weather as we continue to move into the weeks of Mid May.

Drought Easing Rains!

2 day Radar Estimate from the NWS in the Twin Cities.

Rains were abundant across the area this weekend and in some cases it was heavy and came in torrienal downpours. These rains really helped but a dent in area deficits and ease drought conditions that started back in August of last year. Every part of the area was touched by at least some rain this weekend, and in some extreme cases as much as 4" have fallen, which is extremely good news for areas that were under severe drought status for the past few months. It will be interesting to see what the new drought monitor looks like on Thursday of this week!

 Lush green trees and grass May 6th 2012

Plentiful moisture has returned to the soils of Southern Minnesota, all the foliage in yards and on trees is lush green and everything seemed to get a boast from the rain. Here in Downtown Rochester we've received 2.65" of rain since the 1st of the month. This week was the rainiest week since I moved here last August. Hopefully we can continue to stay in a wetter pattern through the summer to bring lake and river levels up some!

Severe Weather Outlook for today (Saturday)

Image from SPC

There is a Slight Risk For severe thunderstorms in place today across Iowa, South Dakota and Southern Minnesota. This includes most of the local area. Thunderstorms are expected to develop in South Dakota and track across Southern Minnesota. These storms could remain severe long enough to impact the area. The best time for severe weather will like be after 5pm. Damaging winds, large hail and heavy torrential rain are the main threats.

Severe Weather threat Tonight, Wednesday and again Thursday! Damaging winds, a tornado threat and large hail possible.

 

 Image from SPC Thursdays Outlook

There is yet a 3rd risk of severe weather for today and tonight, it is a Slight Risk and it covers Southeastern Minnesota, Iowa Wisconsin and Northern Illnoise. This includes the entire local area. Stroms are expected to develop along the same frontal boundry that is still draped over the area. They will develop into the afternoon and  could become severe. Large Hail, Damaging Winds and Tornados, torrinal rain and flooding will all be possible again Thursday afternoon. Be awward of the severe weather threats the next 2 days and stay closely tuned to weather information, espessially in the afternoon and evening of each day! 

Image from SPC Fridays Outlook

The SPC has another risk of severe weather Friday. A Slight Risk Has been issued for Friday becuase of the threat of thunderstorms developing along a front. The outlook includes the entire local area. Large hail, damaging winds, torrinal rain and tornados are a possibility Friday afternoon and evening. We are in a very active pattern at this time, people should have there weather radios turned on!

Warm day 80+ degree highs with sigificant storms in Goodhue and Wabasha counties. Mutiple reports of golf ball sized hail and torrienal rain. Then more severe storms reported in Fillmore county.

Thunderheads Northeast of Rochester May 2nd 2012

Goodhue/Wabasha County storms.

Severe thunderstorms impacted the area today. Thunderstorms formed along a boundary that sat right over the area during the afternoon along and north of highway 14. These storms developed just west of the area and moved over and quickly became severe. Several cells were seen and most of them produced very large hail, torrential rain  and severe wind damage. These storms tracked right down the state road 60 corridor and impacted the Kenyon, Zumbrota and Wabasha areas with significant hail and wind. One of the worst reports of damage I saw was trees reported down from high winds across the city of Wabasha along with golf ball sized hail. This hail caused sigificant damage to trees and shrubs with newly emerging leaves. The local news reports that the hail was so severe in some cases that it piled up so deep snowplows had to be used in removing the hail, see KTTC for more on their story covering the storms. Flooding rains may also have been a problem in some areas as radar indicated over 2.50" rain could have fallen across Central Goodhue and Wabasha counties. A list of reported can be found below.

Fillmore county storm

Storms re developed in Iowa overnight an tracked northeast across Fillmore county this morning, high wind gusts downing trees was the main severe weathe threat from these storms. A report of trees down came in from Harmony and a report of a large pine tree down was reported south of Rushford with this storm Reports from this storm can be found below.

 Photo taken Wednesday afternoon May 3rd 2012

A warm summer-like day also took place across the area before storms broke out. High tempetures were in the upper 70s to mid 80s in some areas, which is about 10 degrees above normal. Dewpoints were sticky rainging from from 60 to as high as 66.F. These are the warmest tempetures of the season so far!

Highest tempetuires reported Wednesday

The highest temp was seen at inner city stations in Rochester, which hit 85.F, cooler stations were in the wooded southeastern areas near the Missippi River.

Storm Reports Wabasha/Goodhue Counties

4 miles S Wanamingo 1.75" Golf ball sized hail


3 miles E Bellechester 1.75" Gold ball sized hail

Kellogg 64MPH wind gust

Wabasha Trees down across the city

5 miles SW Lake City 1.75" Golf ball sized hail, lots of hail. hail piled up 1-3 feet in some places
Wabasha 1.75" Golf ball sized hail, along with estimated 50MPH winds

2 miles W Oak Center 1.50" hail

6 miles S Wanamingo 1.00" Quater sized hail

3 miles W Zumbrota 1.00" Quater sized hail

2 miles NW Bear Valley 1.00" Quater sized hail

5 miles S Lake City 1.00" Quater sized hail


Fillmore County Storm

Harmony Trees down in town with estimated 70MPH gusts.

3 miles S Rushford, Large pine tree down across state road 43.